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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Augsburg |
56.25% | 22.46% | 21.29% |
Both teams to score 55.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.27% | 43.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.88% | 66.12% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.63% | 15.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.85% | 44.15% |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.52% | 34.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.8% | 71.2% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Augsburg |
1-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 9.29% 3-1 @ 6.18% 3-0 @ 5.8% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 2.89% 4-0 @ 2.72% 4-2 @ 1.54% 5-1 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.62% Total : 56.25% | 1-1 @ 10.56% 0-0 @ 5.3% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.45% | 0-1 @ 5.64% 1-2 @ 5.63% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.08% Total : 21.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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