Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Oct 26, 2020 at 7.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
3 - 1
Augsburg

Alario (16' pen., 74'), Diaby (90+4')
Alario (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Caligiuri (51')
Framberger (15'), Vargas (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Bundesliga match between Bayer Leverkusen and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Augsburg
56.25%	22.46%	21.29%

Both teams to score 55.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.27%

43.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.88%

66.12%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.63%

15.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.85%

44.15%

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.52%

34.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.8%

71.2%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 56.25%

Augsburg 21.29%

Draw 22.45%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Augsburg
1-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 9.29% 3-1 @ 6.18% 3-0 @ 5.8% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 2.89% 4-0 @ 2.72% 4-2 @ 1.54% 5-1 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.62% Total : 56.25%	1-1 @ 10.56% 0-0 @ 5.3% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.45%	0-1 @ 5.64% 1-2 @ 5.63% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.08% Total : 21.29%

Bundesliga

B. Leverkusen3 - 1Augsburg

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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B. Leverkusen
3 - 1
Augsburg