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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 0-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 16.35% | 19.16% | 64.49% |
| Both teams to score 57.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.69% | 36.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.57% | 58.43% |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.67% | 35.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.91% | 72.09% |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.37% | 10.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.54% | 34.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 4.56% 1-0 @ 3.91% 2-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.77% 3-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.51% Total : 16.35% | 1-1 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 5.11% 0-0 @ 3.76% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.16% | 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-2 @ 9.44% 0-1 @ 8.42% 1-3 @ 7.34% 0-3 @ 7.05% 1-4 @ 4.11% 0-4 @ 3.95% 2-3 @ 3.82% 2-4 @ 2.14% 1-5 @ 1.84% 0-5 @ 1.77% 2-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.84% Total : 64.49% |