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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 32.85% | 23.21% | 43.95% |
| Both teams to score 63.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.1% | 37.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.84% | 60.16% |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.05% | 22.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.27% | 56.73% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.32% | 17.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.68% | 48.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 7.62% 1-0 @ 5.97% 2-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.85% | 1-1 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 6.6% 0-0 @ 4.06% 3-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.21% | 1-2 @ 8.97% 0-1 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 6.09% 1-3 @ 5.18% 2-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 3.52% 1-4 @ 2.24% 2-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.94% Total : 43.95% |