Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 3

Oct 2, 2020 at 7.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
4 - 0
Mainz 05

Kruse (13'), Ingvartsen (49'), Friedrich (63'), Pohjanpalo (64')
Trimmel (33')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mateta (53'), Latza (59'), Boetius (67'), St Juste (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Mainz 05, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Mainz 05
47.69%	24.71%	27.6%

Both teams to score 55.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.42%

47.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.22%

69.78%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.99%

20.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.8%

52.2%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.79%

31.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.45%

67.55%

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 47.69%

Mainz 05 27.6%

Draw 24.7%

Union Berlin	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.41% 2-0 @ 8.08% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.87% Total : 47.69%	1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.7%	0-1 @ 7.27% 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.87% Total : 27.6%

Bundesliga

Union Berlin4 - 0Mainz 05

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

Latest Football Articles

Union Berlin
4 - 0
Mainz 05