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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Augsburg |
| 44.49% | 25.21% | 30.29% |
| Both teams to score 55.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.74% | 48.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.59% | 70.4% |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.31% | 21.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.16% | 54.83% |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% | 29.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.35% | 65.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Augsburg |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.49% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.82% 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.32% Total : 30.29% |