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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 32.51% | 24.25% | 43.24% |
| Both teams to score 59.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.97% | 43.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.57% | 65.43% |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% | 25.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.51% | 60.49% |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.93% | 20.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.69% | 52.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 7.66% 1-0 @ 7% 2-0 @ 4.77% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.51% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-1 @ 8.25% 0-2 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 4.83% 0-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.98% Total : 43.24% |