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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Sep 26, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
OPEL ARENA
Stuttgart

Mainz 05
1 - 4
Stuttgart

Quaison (13')
Niakhate (37')
Niakhate (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wamangituka (45'), Didavi (61'), Klimowicz (80'), Kalajdzic (86')
Stenzel (52'), Mangala (69'), Castro (74')
Stenzel (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Stuttgart, including predictions and team news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
32.51%24.25%43.24%
Both teams to score 59.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.97%43.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.57%65.43%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4%25.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51%60.49%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.93%20.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.69%52.3%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 32.51%
    Stuttgart 43.24%
    Draw 24.25%
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 7.66%
1-0 @ 7%
2-0 @ 4.77%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 32.51%
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-1 @ 8.25%
0-2 @ 6.63%
1-3 @ 4.83%
0-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 3.29%
1-4 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 43.24%

Head to Head
Jan 19, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Stuttgart
2-3
Mainz
Gonzalez (83'), Kempf (85')
Kempf (20'), Ascacibar (89')
Ascacibar (22' og.), Mateta (28'), Hack (72')
Brosinski (84'), Holtmann (90')
Aug 26, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Mainz
1-0
Stuttgart
Ujah (76')
Holtmann (63')

Ascacibar (79'), Sosa (90')
Jan 20, 2018 2.30pm
Mainz
3-2
Stuttgart
Muto (45', 54'), Holtmann (64')
de Jong (47'), Zentner (90')
Badstuber (19'), Ginczek (90')
Insua (12'), Ginczek (59'), Burnic (75'), Pavard (83')
Dec 19, 2017 5.30pm
Third Round
Mainz
3-1
Stuttgart
Berggreen (62'), Diallo (71'), Serdar (90')
Latza (38'), Quaison (54')
Gentner (42')
Beck (70')
Aug 26, 2017 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Wolfsburg146353125621
7Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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