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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 43.96% | 25.13% | 30.91% |
| Both teams to score 55.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.4% | 47.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.2% | 69.8% |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% | 21.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.22% | 54.78% |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% | 28.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.27% | 64.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% 2-1 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 4.64% 3-0 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.44% Total : 43.96% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.77% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.59% Total : 30.91% |