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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 51.51% | 21.67% | 26.82% |
| Both teams to score 65.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.95% | 34.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.07% | 55.93% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.45% | 13.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.36% | 40.64% |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% | 24.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.72% | 59.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% 1-0 @ 6.7% 2-0 @ 6.69% 3-1 @ 6.23% 3-0 @ 4.46% 3-2 @ 4.35% 4-1 @ 3.11% 4-0 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 2.18% 5-1 @ 1.24% 4-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.95% Total : 51.52% | 1-1 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 3.35% 3-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-1 @ 4.68% 0-2 @ 3.27% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 1.52% 1-4 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.59% Total : 26.82% |