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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Schalke 04 |
38.43% | 25.7% | 35.86% |
Both teams to score 55.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.09% | 48.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29% | 71% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.02% | 24.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.37% | 59.62% |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.58% | 26.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.42% | 61.57% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Schalke 04 |
1-0 @ 9.15% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.02% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.76% Total : 38.43% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.6% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.78% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 5.85% 1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.23% Total : 35.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 75 | 20 | 55 | 80 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 66 |
3 | Stuttgart | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 68 | 36 | 32 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 59 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 31 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |