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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 38.43% | 25.7% | 35.86% |
| Both teams to score 55.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.09% | 48.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29% | 71% |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% | 24.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.37% | 59.62% |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.58% | 26.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.42% | 61.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.02% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.76% Total : 38.43% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.6% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.78% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 5.85% 1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.23% Total : 35.86% |