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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Mainz 05 |
42.14% | 24.42% | 33.45% |
Both teams to score 59.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.49% | 43.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.1% | 65.91% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.23% | 20.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.59% | 53.41% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.73% | 25.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.97% | 60.04% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 8.92% 1-0 @ 8.25% 2-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.77% Total : 42.14% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 7.8% 0-1 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 4.97% 1-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 75 | 20 | 55 | 80 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 66 |
3 | Stuttgart | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 68 | 36 | 32 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 59 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 31 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
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