Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Sep 20, 2020 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Emil Forsberg 17' goal
  • Yussuf Poulsen 21' goal
  • Amadou Haidara 51' goal
  • Yussuf Poulsen 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jean-Philippe Mateta 30'
  • goal Jean-Philippe Mateta 48'
  • yellowcard Danny Latza 58'

RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Augsburg 1 - 2 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Marcel Sabitzer

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen 1 - 0 Mainz
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Jean-Philippe Mateta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result

RB Leipzig 53.25%
Draw 22.33%
Mainz 05 24.42%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.07%

Goals

Over 2.5 60.47%
Under 2.5 39.52%
Over 3.5 38.13%
Under 3.5 61.87%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 85.09%
Under 0.5 14.9%
Over 1.5 56.72%
Under 1.5 43.27%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 70.59%
Under 0.5 29.41%
Over 1.5 34.6%
Under 1.5 65.4%

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 53.25%
Draw 22.33%
Mainz 05 24.42%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.72%
1-0 @ 8.34%
2-0 @ 7.94%
3-1 @ 6.17%
3-0 @ 5.04%
3-2 @ 3.77%
4-1 @ 2.94%
4-0 @ 2.4%
4-2 @ 1.8%
5-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 53.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.21%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 4.38%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.33%
Mainz 05
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-1 @ 5.36%
0-2 @ 3.28%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 24.42%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 27
May 24, 2020 2.30pm
0
5
HT : 0 3
FT Opel Arena
  • Pierre Kunde 20' yellowcard
  • Jeffrey Bruma 31' yellowcard
  • Jeremiah St Juste 79' yellowcard
  • goal Timo Werner 11'
  • yellowcard Marcel Sabitzer 13'
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 17'
  • goal Yussuf Poulsen 23'
  • yellowcard Timo Werner 35'
  • goal Marcel Sabitzer 36'
  • goal Timo Werner 48'
  • goal Timo Werner 75'
Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Nov 2, 2019 2.30pm
8
0
HT : 5 0
FT Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)
  • Marcel Sabitzer 5' goal
  • Timo Werner 30' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 35' goal
  • Marcel Halstenberg 39' goal
  • Yussuf Poulsen 44' goal
  • Timo Werner 48' goal
  • Nordi Mukiele 50' goal
  • Timo Werner 87' goal
  • yellowcard Ronael Pierre-Gabriel 84'
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
May 3, 2019 7.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT OPEL ARENA (Mainz)
  • Karim Onisiwo 43' goal
  • Daniel Brosinski 55' yellowcard
  • Moussa Niakhate 67' goal
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta 83' goal
  • goal Lukas Klostermann 20'
  • goal Lukas Klostermann 32'
  • goal Timo Werner 49'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kampl 52'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Dec 16, 2018 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)
  • Yussuf Poulsen 14' goal
  • Yussuf Poulsen 19' goal
  • Dayot Upamecano 27' yellowcard
  • Marcel Sabitzer 42' yellowcard
  • Willi Orban 51' yellowcard
  • Timo Werner 74' goal
  • Timo Werner 88' goal
  • goal Karim Onisiwo 38'
  • yellowcard Danny Latza 53'
  • yellowcard Moussa Niakhate 54'
  • yellowcard Robin Zentner 66'
Bundesliga
Apr 29, 2018 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT OPEL ARENA (Mainz)
  • Pablo de Blasis 29' goal
  • Stefan Bell 38' yellowcard
  • Alexandru Maxim 85' goal
  • Alexandru Maxim 89' yellowcard
  • Bote Baku 90' goal
  • yellowcard Yussuf Poulsen 30'
  • yellowcard Willi Orban 40'
  • yellowcard Naby Keita 89'
  • redcard Naby Keita 90'
Bundesliga
Dec 9, 2017 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)
  • Konrad Laimer 23' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kampl 29' goal
  • Stefan Ilsanker 38' yellowcard
  • Timo Werner 45' goal
  • goal Robin Quaison 39'
  • yellowcard Abdou Diallo 44'
  • yellowcard Emil Berggreen 68'
  • yellowcard Suat Serdar 76'
  • goal Emil Berggreen 86'