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Champions League

Leipzig logo
Champions League | Quarter-Finals
Aug 13, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Atletico Madrid logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Atletico

Olmo (51'), Adams (88')
Klostermann (70'), Kampl (82'), Haidara (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Felix (71' pen.)
Lodi (62'), Gimenez (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

Tyler Adams' last club goal came for New York Red Bulls in March 2018.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Champions League quarter-final between RB Leipzig and Atletico Madrid, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 42.89%. A draw had a probability of 35.6% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 21.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 20.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 1-2 (5.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (22.02%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-0 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawAtletico Madrid
21.53%35.58%42.89%
Both teams to score 26.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
19.44%80.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
6.73%93.27%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.59%56.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.29%88.71%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.96%39.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.24%75.76%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 21.53%
    Atletico Madrid 42.89%
    Draw 35.57%
RB LeipzigDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 12.6%
2-0 @ 3.61%
2-1 @ 3.39%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 21.53%
0-0 @ 22.02%
1-1 @ 11.85%
2-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 35.57%
0-1 @ 20.71%
0-2 @ 9.74%
1-2 @ 5.58%
0-3 @ 3.06%
1-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 42.89%