Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
| 60.42% | 23.96% | 15.63% |
| Both teams to score 41.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.48% | 57.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.69% | 78.31% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% | 18.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.7% | 50.31% |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.86% | 49.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.95% | 84.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 15.45% 2-0 @ 12.89% 2-1 @ 9.16% 3-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 5.1% 4-0 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.81% 5-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.7% Total : 60.4% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 9.26% 2-2 @ 3.25% Other @ 0.46% Total : 23.96% | 0-1 @ 6.58% 1-2 @ 3.9% 0-2 @ 2.34% 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.88% Total : 15.63% |