La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

Jun 30, 2020 at 9pm UK

Camp Nou

Barcelona
2 - 2
Atletico

Costa (11' og.), Messi (50' pen.)
ter Stegen (17'), Pique (18'), Messi (61')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Niguez (19' pen., 62' pen.)
Niguez (35'), Felipe (51'), Costa (75'), Carrasco (80'), Lemar (90+4')

Reaction

Barcelona captain Lionel Messi pictured on June 19, 2020

Barcelona, Argentina icon Lionel Messi scores 700th goal of career

Barcelona captain Lionel Messi scores the 700th goal of his senior career during his side's La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid.

Jun 30, 21:12

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 64.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 14.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Atletico Madrid
64.38%	20.82%	14.8%

Both teams to score 48.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53%

47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.75%

69.25%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.13%

13.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.73%

41.27%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.06%

43.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.93%

80.08%

Score Analysis

Barcelona 64.38%

Atletico Madrid 14.8%

Draw 20.82%

Barcelona	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 12.04% 2-0 @ 11.89% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 6.44% 4-0 @ 3.87% 4-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.65% 5-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.31% 5-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.61% Total : 64.38%	1-1 @ 9.9% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.82%	0-1 @ 5.01% 1-2 @ 4.07% 0-2 @ 2.06% 1-3 @ 1.12% 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.44% Total : 14.8%