Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 52.28% | 25.62% | 22.1% |
| Both teams to score 46.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.39% | 55.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.23% | 76.76% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.69% | 21.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.74% | 54.25% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.61% | 40.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23% | 77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 13.3% 2-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-0 @ 5.3% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.17% Total : 52.27% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 8.61% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 7.8% 1-2 @ 5.47% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.28% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.29% Total : 22.1% |