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La Liga | Gameweek 38
Jul 19, 2020 at 8pm UK
Wanda Metropolitano
Real Sociedad logo

Atletico
1 - 1
Real Sociedad

Koke (30')
Partey (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Januzaj (87')
Gorosabel (18'), Monreal (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawReal Sociedad
52.28%25.62%22.1%
Both teams to score 46.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.39%55.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.23%76.76%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.69%21.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74%54.25%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.61%40.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23%77%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 52.27%
    Real Sociedad 22.1%
    Draw 25.61%
Atletico MadridDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 13.3%
2-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.33%
3-0 @ 5.3%
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 2.05%
4-1 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 52.27%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 8.61%
2-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 7.8%
1-2 @ 5.47%
0-2 @ 3.54%
1-3 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.28%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 22.1%

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