Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 29.19% | 26.93% | 43.88% |
| Both teams to score 49.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.34% | 55.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.18% | 76.81% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.76% | 34.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.06% | 70.93% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% | 25.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.07% | 59.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 9.25% 2-1 @ 6.83% 2-0 @ 4.96% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 1.77% 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 11.89% 1-2 @ 8.79% 0-2 @ 8.2% 1-3 @ 4.04% 0-3 @ 3.77% 2-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.35% Total : 43.88% |