Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.59%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 61.72% | 23.88% | 14.4% |
| Both teams to score 39.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.91% | 59.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.46% | 79.54% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% | 18.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.51% | 50.49% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.14% | 51.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.09% | 85.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 16.35% 2-0 @ 13.59% 2-1 @ 8.93% 3-0 @ 7.53% 3-1 @ 4.95% 4-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 1.62% 5-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.51% Total : 61.71% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 9.83% 2-2 @ 2.93% Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 6.46% 1-2 @ 3.53% 0-2 @ 2.12% Other @ 2.3% Total : 14.4% |