La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 32

Jun 27, 2020 at 4pm UK

Municipal de Balaidos

Celta Vigo
2 - 2
Barcelona

Smolov (50'), Aspas (88')
Mendez (34'), Araujo (61'), Aspas (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Suarez (20', 67')
Alba (12'), Umtiti (53'), Braithwaite (82'), Pique (90+5')

Reaction

Celta Vigo players celebrate Iago Aspas's late goal against Barcelona on June 27, 2020

European roundup: Barcelona drop more crucial points in title race

Luis Suarez, a former Liverpool team-mate of Aspas, bagged a brace for Barca, who went back to the top of LaLiga.

Jun 27, 17:58

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 19.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Barcelona
19.53%	23.1%	57.36%

Both teams to score 50.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.23%

48.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.13%

70.87%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.85%

39.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.13%

75.86%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.25%

16.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.32%

46.68%

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 19.53%

Barcelona 57.34%

Draw 23.09%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 6.15% 2-1 @ 5.15% 2-0 @ 2.88% 3-1 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 1.44% 3-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.4% Total : 19.53%	1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 6.56% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.09%	0-1 @ 11.71% 0-2 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-3 @ 6.23% 1-3 @ 5.85% 0-4 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 1.22% 0-5 @ 1% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.99% Total : 57.34%