Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 37.44% | 27.92% | 34.65% |
| Both teams to score 47.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.01% | 57.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.32% | 78.68% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% | 29.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.07% | 65.94% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% | 31.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32% | 68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 6.89% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.43% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 10.86% 1-2 @ 7.57% 0-2 @ 6.26% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.64% |