Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Villarreal |
| 37.04% | 27.02% | 35.94% |
| Both teams to score 50.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.55% | 54.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.18% | 75.81% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% | 28.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.9% | 64.1% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% | 29.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.07% | 64.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.73% Total : 37.04% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.23% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.96% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 10.18% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.94% |