Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 43.31%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 27.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 43.31% | 29.31% | 27.38% |
| Both teams to score 41.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.52% | 64.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.47% | 83.52% |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% | 29.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.29% | 65.71% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.44% | 40.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.84% | 77.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 14.61% 2-0 @ 8.88% 2-1 @ 8.02% 3-0 @ 3.6% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.09% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.39% Total : 43.3% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 12.02% 2-2 @ 3.62% Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.3% | 0-1 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 5.95% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.32% Total : 27.37% |