Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 32.08% | 28.17% | 39.75% |
| Both teams to score 46.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.73% | 59.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.32% | 79.67% |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.99% | 34.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.31% | 70.69% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% | 29.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.97% | 65.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 7.11% 2-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 2.07% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.35% Total : 32.08% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.9% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 12.21% 1-2 @ 8.13% 0-2 @ 7.54% 1-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 1.8% 1-4 @ 1.03% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.62% Total : 39.74% |