La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 29

Jun 17, 2020 at 9pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
0 - 5
Atletico

Arnaiz (58'), Gallego (73'), Perez (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Felix (27', 56'), Llorente (79'), Morata (82'), Carrasco (88')
Arias (6'), Felix (45+2'), Savic (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Atletico Madrid, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Atletico Madrid
35.77%	26.84%	37.39%

Both teams to score 51.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.27%

53.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.79%

75.21%

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.23%

28.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.39%

64.61%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.19%

27.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.6%

63.4%

Score Analysis

Osasuna 35.77%

Atletico Madrid 37.39%

Draw 26.83%

Osasuna	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 7.95% 2-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.77%	1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 10.24% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 6.55% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.87% Total : 37.39%

La Liga

Osasuna0 - 5Atletico

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Osasuna
0 - 5
Atletico