Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

May 30, 2020 at 2.30pm UK

Opel Arena

Mainz 05
0 - 1
Hoffenheim

Baku (14'), Bruma (19'), Boetius (43'), Barreiro (44')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bebou (43')
Bogarde (12'), Samassekou (18'), Rudy (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Hoffenheim, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 37.94% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Hoffenheim
37.94%	24.03%	38.03%

Both teams to score 61.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59%

40.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.61%

63.39%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.31%

21.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.17%

54.82%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.36%

21.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.24%

54.75%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 37.94%

Hoffenheim 38.03%

Draw 24.02%

Mainz 05	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.39% 1-0 @ 7.17% 2-0 @ 5.48% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.94%	1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.02%	1-2 @ 8.4% 0-1 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 4.29% 2-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.03%

Bundesliga

Mainz 050 - 1Hoffenheim

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Mainz 05
0 - 1
Hoffenheim