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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 25.04% | 23.04% | 51.92% |
| Both teams to score 58.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.79% | 42.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.38% | 64.62% |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.63% | 30.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.44% | 66.56% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% | 16.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.1% | 45.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 6.38% 1-0 @ 5.91% 2-0 @ 3.52% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 3% Total : 25.04% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 5.78% 0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 9.71% 0-1 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 8.14% 1-3 @ 5.87% 0-3 @ 4.92% 2-3 @ 3.5% 1-4 @ 2.66% 0-4 @ 2.23% 2-4 @ 1.58% 1-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.37% Total : 51.92% |