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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 63.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 16.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 2-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 16.63% | 20.34% | 63.04% |
| Both teams to score 54.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.64% | 41.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.25% | 63.76% |
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.89% | 38.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.13% | 74.88% |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.49% | 12.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.49% | 38.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 4.61% 1-0 @ 4.6% 2-0 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.54% 3-1 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.17% Total : 16.63% | 1-1 @ 9.56% 2-2 @ 4.79% 0-0 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.34% | 0-2 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-1 @ 9.91% 0-3 @ 7.14% 1-3 @ 6.89% 0-4 @ 3.71% 1-4 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 3.32% 2-4 @ 1.73% 0-5 @ 1.54% 1-5 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.51% Total : 63.04% |