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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 36.48% | 23.59% | 39.92% |
| Both teams to score 62.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.07% | 38.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.75% | 61.25% |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% | 21.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.47% | 54.53% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% | 19.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.07% | 51.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 8.15% 1-0 @ 6.55% 2-0 @ 5.04% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 3.38% 3-0 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 6.59% 0-0 @ 4.26% 3-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-1 @ 6.9% 0-2 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 4.62% 2-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 1.87% 2-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.16% Total : 39.92% |