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Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 5, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium
Leverkusen logo

Be'er Sheva
2 - 4
B. Leverkusen

Acolatse (11', 25')
Sallalich (13')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Bailey (5', 75'), Dadya (39' og.), Wirtz (88')
Alario (21'), Demirbay (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League match between Hapoel Be'er Sheva and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.63%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Hapoel Be'er ShevaDrawBayer Leverkusen
33.65%22.97%43.38%
Both teams to score 64.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.54%36.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.4%58.6%
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.17%21.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.95%55.05%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66%17.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.28%47.71%
Score Analysis
    Hapoel Be'er Sheva 33.65%
    Bayer Leverkusen 43.38%
    Draw 22.97%
Hapoel Be'er ShevaDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 7.68%
1-0 @ 5.76%
2-0 @ 4.38%
3-1 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 3.41%
3-0 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 33.65%
1-1 @ 10.09%
2-2 @ 6.73%
0-0 @ 3.78%
3-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 8.84%
0-1 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 5.81%
1-3 @ 5.17%
2-3 @ 3.93%
0-3 @ 3.39%
1-4 @ 2.26%
2-4 @ 1.72%
0-4 @ 1.49%
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 43.38%