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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Nov 22, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Mainz logo

Freiburg
1 - 3
Mainz 05

Petersen (63')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Mateta (2', 34', 40')
Niakhate (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga match between Freiburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawMainz 05
41.24%25.72%33.04%
Both teams to score 54.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56%49.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52%71.48%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25%23.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1%57.9%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61%28.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.87%64.13%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 41.24%
    Mainz 05 33.04%
    Draw 25.71%
FreiburgDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 6.97%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-0 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.24%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.74%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.49%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-2 @ 5.35%
1-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.04%

Head to Head
Jan 18, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Mainz
1-2
Freiburg
Mateta (82')
Baku (26'), Hack (40'), Kunde (51'), Niakhate (82')
Chang-Hoon (28'), Petersen (41')
Haberer (37'), Abrashi (82')
Aug 17, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Freiburg
3-0
Mainz
Holer (81'), Schmid (84'), Waldschmidt (87' pen.)
Lienhart (62')

St Juste (11'), Latza (30'), Fernandes (34')
Apr 5, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 28
Mainz
5-0
Freiburg
Boetius (20'), Mateta (25', 33', 77'), Onisiwo (73')
Kunde (41'), Latza (57'), Maxim (64')

Hofler (45')
Nov 10, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Freiburg
1-3
Mainz
Sallai (72')
Hofler (67'), Gulde (77')
Gbamin (6'), Mateta (18'), Onisiwo (75')
Onisiwo (84')
Apr 16, 2018 7.30pm
Mainz
2-0
Freiburg
De Blasis (45' pen., 79')
Balogun (75')

Haberer (30'), Gulde (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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