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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 63.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 15.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Freiburg |
| 63.74% | 20.87% | 15.39% |
| Both teams to score 49.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.96% | 46.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.66% | 68.34% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.24% | 13.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.95% | 41.05% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.47% | 42.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.11% | 78.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Freiburg |
| 1-0 @ 11.6% 2-0 @ 11.51% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 6.51% 4-0 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.78% 5-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.73% Total : 63.73% | 1-1 @ 9.92% 0-0 @ 5.85% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.88% Total : 20.87% | 0-1 @ 5% 1-2 @ 4.24% 0-2 @ 2.14% 1-3 @ 1.21% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.6% Total : 15.39% |