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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 63.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 15.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Freiburg |
63.74% | 20.87% | 15.39% |
Both teams to score 49.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.96% | 46.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.66% | 68.34% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.24% | 13.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.95% | 41.05% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.47% | 42.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.11% | 78.89% |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Freiburg |
1-0 @ 11.6% 2-0 @ 11.51% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 6.51% 4-0 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.78% 5-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.73% Total : 63.73% | 1-1 @ 9.92% 0-0 @ 5.85% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.88% Total : 20.87% | 0-1 @ 5% 1-2 @ 4.24% 0-2 @ 2.14% 1-3 @ 1.21% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.6% Total : 15.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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