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Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 20, 2020 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Istanbul Basaksehir

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Istanbul

Angelino (16', 20')
Nkunku (40'), Upamecano (41'), Konate (73'), Henrichs (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bolingoli-Mbombo (18'), Da Silva (43'), Ozcan (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League match between RB Leipzig and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
46.34%26.73%26.94%
Both teams to score 48.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.97%56.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.88%77.12%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85%24.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53%58.47%
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.77%36.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99%73.01%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 46.33%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 26.94%
    Draw 26.72%
RB LeipzigDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 12.43%
2-1 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 8.83%
3-1 @ 4.25%
3-0 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 46.33%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 8.75%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 8.89%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 26.94%