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Europa League

FC Copenhagen
Europa League | Round of 16
Aug 5, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Telia Parken
Istanbul Basaksehir

Copenhagen
3 - 0
Istanbul

Wind (4', 52' pen.), Falk (62')
Bartolec (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Elia (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa League fixture between Copenhagen and Istanbul Basaksehir, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 48.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 24.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Copenhagen would win this match.

Result
CopenhagenDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
48.92%26.25%24.83%
Both teams to score 48.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.36%55.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.2%76.79%
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.21%22.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.51%56.48%
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.17%37.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.4%74.6%
Score Analysis
    Copenhagen 48.91%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 24.83%
    Draw 26.24%
CopenhagenDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-0 @ 9.43%
2-1 @ 9.17%
3-0 @ 4.65%
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-1 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 48.91%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 8.62%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 8.38%
1-2 @ 6.02%
0-2 @ 4.07%
1-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.44%
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 24.83%