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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 28.01% | 24.86% | 47.14% |
| Both teams to score 54.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.06% | 47.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.89% | 70.12% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.91% | 31.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.59% | 67.42% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% | 20.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.2% | 52.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 1-0 @ 7.41% 2-1 @ 6.88% 2-0 @ 4.33% 3-1 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.01% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.34% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 9.36% 0-2 @ 8.02% 1-3 @ 4.96% 0-3 @ 4.25% 2-3 @ 2.9% 1-4 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.75% Total : 47.14% |