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Champions League

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Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 4, 2020 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
PSG logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
PSG

Nkunku (42'), Forsberg (57' pen.)
Upamecano (15'), Konate (25')
FT(HT: 1-1)
di Maria (6')
Kimpembe (19'), Gueye (37'), Kurzawa (68')
Gueye (69'), Kimpembe (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League match between RB Leipzig and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.38%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.1%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (5.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawParis Saint-Germain
22.28%19.35%58.38%
Both teams to score 68.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.55%27.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.94%48.06%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.69%24.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.31%58.69%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.47%9.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.08%31.93%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 22.28%
    Paris Saint-Germain 58.38%
    Draw 19.35%
RB LeipzigDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.45%
1-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 3.02%
3-1 @ 2.57%
2-0 @ 2.32%
3-0 @ 1.09%
4-2 @ 1.07%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 22.28%
1-1 @ 7.7%
2-2 @ 6.4%
3-3 @ 2.37%
0-0 @ 2.32%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 19.35%
1-2 @ 9.05%
1-3 @ 7.1%
0-2 @ 6.4%
0-1 @ 5.45%
0-3 @ 5.02%
2-3 @ 5.02%
1-4 @ 4.17%
0-4 @ 2.95%
2-4 @ 2.95%
1-5 @ 1.96%
3-4 @ 1.39%
2-5 @ 1.39%
0-5 @ 1.39%
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 58.38%