Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.32%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 29.63% | 21.98% | 48.39% |
| Both teams to score 66.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.5% | 33.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.7% | 55.3% |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% | 22.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.69% | 56.31% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.63% | 14.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.76% | 42.24% |
| Score Analysis |
Istanbul Basaksehir 29.63%
Paris Saint-Germain 48.39%
Draw 21.98%
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 6.96% 1-0 @ 4.83% 2-0 @ 3.59% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.17% Total : 29.63% | 1-1 @ 9.38% 2-2 @ 6.75% 0-0 @ 3.26% 3-3 @ 2.16% Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 9.1% 0-1 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 5.89% 2-3 @ 4.37% 0-3 @ 3.97% 1-4 @ 2.86% 2-4 @ 2.12% 0-4 @ 1.92% 1-5 @ 1.11% 3-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.57% Total : 48.39% |


