Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 83.82%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 4.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.75%) and 1-0 (11.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.44%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Dijon |
| 83.82% | 11.75% | 4.43% |
| Both teams to score 34.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.61% | 39.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.26% | 61.74% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.04% | 6.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.5% | 25.5% |
| Dijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 37.41% | 62.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.08% | 91.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Dijon |
| 2-0 @ 15.47% 3-0 @ 13.75% 1-0 @ 11.6% 4-0 @ 9.16% 2-1 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 6.44% 5-0 @ 4.89% 4-1 @ 4.29% 5-1 @ 2.29% 6-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.51% 6-1 @ 1.02% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.96% Total : 83.81% | 1-1 @ 5.44% 0-0 @ 4.35% 2-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.26% Total : 11.75% | 0-1 @ 2.04% 1-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.12% Total : 4.43% |