Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.44%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Metz had a probability of 7.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.38%) and 3-0 (11.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Metz |
| 77.44% | 14.99% | 7.56% |
| Both teams to score 42.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.11% | 40.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.72% | 63.28% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.29% | 8.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.02% | 29.98% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.45% | 53.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13% | 87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Metz |
| 2-0 @ 13.89% 1-0 @ 11.38% 3-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 8.68% 3-1 @ 7.06% 4-0 @ 6.9% 4-1 @ 4.31% 5-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.21% 5-1 @ 2.1% 6-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.52% Total : 77.42% | 1-1 @ 7.11% 0-0 @ 4.67% 2-2 @ 2.71% Other @ 0.51% Total : 14.99% | 0-1 @ 2.91% 1-2 @ 2.22% 0-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.52% Total : 7.56% |