Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 14.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Marseille win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Marseille |
| 67.54% | 17.68% | 14.78% |
| Both teams to score 59.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.65% | 32.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.03% | 53.97% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.18% | 8.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.77% | 30.23% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.27% | 34.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.54% | 71.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Marseille |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 9.03% 3-1 @ 7.73% 1-0 @ 7.44% 3-0 @ 7.31% 4-1 @ 4.7% 4-0 @ 4.44% 3-2 @ 4.09% 4-2 @ 2.48% 5-1 @ 2.28% 5-0 @ 2.16% 5-2 @ 1.21% 6-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 4.21% Total : 67.54% | 1-1 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 5.05% 0-0 @ 3.06% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.26% Total : 17.68% | 1-2 @ 4.16% 0-1 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-2 @ 1.71% 1-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.43% Total : 14.78% |