Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Lens had a probability of 10.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-3 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Lens win it was 2-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 10.32% | 15.28% | 74.4% |
| Both teams to score 54.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.63% | 32.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46% | 54% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.43% | 41.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.94% | 78.06% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.62% | 7.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.39% | 26.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 3.08% 1-0 @ 2.69% 2-0 @ 1.18% 3-2 @ 1.18% 3-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.29% Total : 10.32% | 1-1 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 4.02% 0-0 @ 3.07% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.28% | 0-2 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-3 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 7.95% 0-4 @ 5.91% 1-4 @ 5.18% 2-3 @ 3.49% 0-5 @ 3.08% 1-5 @ 2.7% 2-4 @ 2.28% 0-6 @ 1.34% 2-5 @ 1.19% 1-6 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.5% Total : 74.4% |