Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Nice had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Lens |
| 35.89% | 25.73% | 38.37% |
| Both teams to score 55.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.97% | 49.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.89% | 71.11% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.55% | 26.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.37% | 61.63% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% | 25.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.25% | 59.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 8.82% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 5.86% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 9.17% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 6.35% 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.64% Total : 38.37% |