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Ligue 1

Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 30, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Marseille

Brest
2 - 3
Marseille

Faivre (45+1'), Charbonnier (89')
Pierre-Gabriel (84'), Magnetti (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Thauvin (20'), Caleta-Car (27', 80')
Kamara (8'), Amavi (30'), Radonjic (45+3'), Balerdi (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Marseille, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawMarseille
29.45%25.6%44.95%
Both teams to score 53.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73%50.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78%72.22%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76%31.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.42%67.58%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.68%22.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.2%55.8%
Score Analysis
    Brest 29.45%
    Marseille 44.95%
    Draw 25.59%
BrestDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 8.11%
2-1 @ 7.08%
2-0 @ 4.72%
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.06%
3-0 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 29.45%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.97%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 9.12%
0-2 @ 7.84%
1-3 @ 4.56%
0-3 @ 3.92%
2-3 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 1.71%
0-4 @ 1.47%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 44.95%