Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 3

Oct 3, 2020 at 2.30pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
4 - 0
Freiburg

Braut Haaland (31', 66'), Can (47'), Passlack (90+2')
Hummels (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Chang-Hoon (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Freiburg, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 16.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Freiburg
63.63%	20.24%	16.12%

Both teams to score 53.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.12%

41.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.72%

64.28%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.5%

12.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.5%

38.5%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.95%

39.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.23%

75.77%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 63.63%

Freiburg 16.12%

Draw 20.24%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Freiburg
2-0 @ 10.55% 1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 6.88% 4-0 @ 3.8% 4-1 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-2 @ 1.68% 5-0 @ 1.58% 5-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.45% Total : 63.63%	1-1 @ 9.55% 0-0 @ 4.88% 2-2 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.24%	0-1 @ 4.59% 1-2 @ 4.49% 0-2 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.46% 1-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.02% Total : 16.12%

Bundesliga

Dortmund4 - 0Freiburg

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Dortmund
4 - 0
Freiburg