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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 39.79% | 26.04% | 34.17% |
| Both teams to score 53.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.41% | 50.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.5% | 72.5% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.99% | 25.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.32% | 59.67% |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% | 28.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.06% | 63.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 1-0 @ 9.79% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.59% Total : 39.79% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.06% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 3.3% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.17% |