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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Freiburg |
| 49.65% | 24.76% | 25.59% |
| Both teams to score 53.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.73% | 49.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.67% | 71.33% |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.13% | 19.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.03% | 51.97% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.3% | 33.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.64% | 70.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Freiburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.51% 2-0 @ 8.74% 3-1 @ 5.12% 3-0 @ 4.71% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.86% Total : 49.65% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 6.7% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 7.28% 1-2 @ 6.4% 0-2 @ 3.96% 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.31% Total : 25.59% |