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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 32.46% | 24.94% | 42.59% |
| Both teams to score 57.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.8% | 46.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.51% | 68.49% |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.84% | 27.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.44% | 62.56% |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.31% | 21.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.16% | 54.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 1-0 @ 7.68% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.46% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 5.89% 2-2 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 9% 1-2 @ 8.97% 0-2 @ 6.88% 1-3 @ 4.57% 0-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.98% 1-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.47% Total : 42.59% |