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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 35.9% | 25.4% | 38.7% |
| Both teams to score 56.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.44% | 47.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% | 69.76% |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% | 25.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.3% | 60.69% |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.78% | 24.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.43% | 58.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 1-0 @ 8.46% 2-1 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.43% Total : 35.9% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.85% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 6.27% 1-3 @ 4.02% 0-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.05% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.7% |