Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Dec 18, 2020 at 7.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
2 - 1
Dortmund

Awoniyi (57'), Friedrich (78')
Bulter (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Moukoko (60')
Witsel (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 66.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 15.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
15.02%	18.88%	66.09%

Both teams to score 55.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.22%

37.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.97%

60.02%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.08%

37.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.31%

74.69%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.36%

10.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.52%

34.48%

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 15.02%

Borussia Dortmund 66.09%

Draw 18.88%

Union Berlin	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 4.25% 1-0 @ 3.91% 2-0 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.54% 3-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.05% Total : 15.02%	1-1 @ 8.77% 2-2 @ 4.76% 0-0 @ 4.03% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.88%	0-2 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-1 @ 9.04% 0-3 @ 7.56% 1-3 @ 7.34% 0-4 @ 4.24% 1-4 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 3.56% 2-4 @ 1.99% 0-5 @ 1.9% 1-5 @ 1.84% Other @ 4.57% Total : 66.09%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Dortmund

Union Berlin

20.0%

Draw

31.0%

Borussia Dortmund

49.0%