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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 66.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
15.02% | 18.88% | 66.09% |
Both teams to score 55.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.22% | 37.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.97% | 60.02% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.08% | 37.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.31% | 74.69% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.36% | 10.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.52% | 34.48% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 4.25% 1-0 @ 3.91% 2-0 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.54% 3-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.05% Total : 15.02% | 1-1 @ 8.77% 2-2 @ 4.76% 0-0 @ 4.03% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.88% | 0-2 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-1 @ 9.04% 0-3 @ 7.56% 1-3 @ 7.34% 0-4 @ 4.24% 1-4 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 3.56% 2-4 @ 1.99% 0-5 @ 1.9% 1-5 @ 1.84% Other @ 4.57% Total : 66.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 26 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 70 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 78 | 31 | 47 | 60 |
3 | Stuttgart | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 56 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 50 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 60 | 32 | 28 | 49 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 40 |
7 | Augsburg | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 35 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 33 |
9 | Freiburg | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 30 |
11 | Heidenheim | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 29 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 28 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 28 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 25 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 25 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 19 |
17 | FC Koln | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 18 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 65 | -39 | 13 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |