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Jerome Boateng
32'
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Joshua Kimmich
50'
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Leroy Sane
55'
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David Alaba
62'
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Niklas Sule
70'
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Robert Lewandowski
76'
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Robert Lewandowski
83'
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Jonathan Burkardt
32'
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Alexander Hack
44'
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Jean-Paul Boetius
59'
Bayern Munich vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 84.2%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 6.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 7.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.87%) and 4-0 (7.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.67%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result
Bayern Munich
84.2%
Draw
9.58%
Mainz 05
6.22%
Both Teams to Score:
61.08%
Goals
Over 2.5
83.4%
Under 2.5
16.6%
Over 3.5
66.89%
Under 3.5
33.11%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5
97.21%
Under 0.5
2.78%
Over 1.5
87.23%
Under 1.5
12.76%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
62.82%
Under 0.5
37.17%
Over 1.5
26.04%
Under 1.5
73.95%
Score analysis
Bayern Munich
84.2%
Draw
9.58%
Mainz 05
6.22%
Bayern Munich
3-0
@
7.95%
3-1 @ 7.87%
4-0 @ 7.12%
4-1 @ 7.05%
2-0 @ 6.65%
2-1 @ 6.58%
5-0 @ 5.11%
5-1 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 3.89%
1-0 @ 3.71%
4-2 @ 3.49%
6-0 @ 3.05%
6-1 @ 3.02%
5-2 @ 2.5%
7-0 @ 1.56%
7-1 @ 1.55%
6-2 @ 1.5%
4-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 5.4%
Total : 84.2%
3-1 @ 7.87%
4-0 @ 7.12%
4-1 @ 7.05%
2-0 @ 6.65%
2-1 @ 6.58%
5-0 @ 5.11%
5-1 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 3.89%
1-0 @ 3.71%
4-2 @ 3.49%
6-0 @ 3.05%
6-1 @ 3.02%
5-2 @ 2.5%
7-0 @ 1.56%
7-1 @ 1.55%
6-2 @ 1.5%
4-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 5.4%
Total : 84.2%
Draw
1-1
@
3.67%
2-2 @ 3.26%
3-3 @ 1.28%
0-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 9.58%
2-2 @ 3.26%
3-3 @ 1.28%
0-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 9.58%
Mainz 05
1-2
@
1.82%
2-3 @ 1.07%
0-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 6.22%
2-3 @ 1.07%
0-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 6.22%
Head to Head
-
Joshua Kimmich
20'
-
Benjamin Pavard
36'
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David Alaba
45'
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Ivan Perisic
54'
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Kingsley Coman
64'
-
Lucas Hernandez
73'
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Thiago Alcantara
75'
-
Robert Lewandowski
78'
-
Alphonso Davies
80'
-
Jean-Paul Boetius
6'
-
Moussa Niakhate
33'
-
Alexander Hack
45'
-
Pierre Kunde
77'