Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 14

Jan 3, 2021 at 5pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
5 - 2
Mainz 05

Kimmich (50'), Sane (55'), Sule (70'), Lewandowski (76' pen., 83')
Boateng (32'), Alaba (62')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Burkardt (32'), Hack (44')
Boetius (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 84.2%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 6.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 7.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.87%) and 4-0 (7.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.67%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Mainz 05
84.2%	9.58%	6.22%

Both teams to score 61.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

83.4%

16.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

66.89%

33.11%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.21%

2.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

87.23%

12.76%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.82%

37.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.04%

73.95%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 84.2%

Mainz 05 6.22%

Draw 9.58%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Mainz 05
3-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 7.87% 4-0 @ 7.12% 4-1 @ 7.05% 2-0 @ 6.65% 2-1 @ 6.58% 5-0 @ 5.11% 5-1 @ 5.06% 3-2 @ 3.89% 1-0 @ 3.71% 4-2 @ 3.49% 6-0 @ 3.05% 6-1 @ 3.02% 5-2 @ 2.5% 7-0 @ 1.56% 7-1 @ 1.55% 6-2 @ 1.5% 4-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 5.4% Total : 84.2%	1-1 @ 3.67% 2-2 @ 3.26% 3-3 @ 1.28% 0-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.33% Total : 9.58%	1-2 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.07% 0-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.3% Total : 6.22%

How you voted: Bayern vs Mainz 05

Bayern Munich

88.1%

Draw

5.1%

Mainz 05

6.8%