Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 1, 2020 at 8pm UK

Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico
1 - 1
Bayern

Felix (26')
Savic (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Muller (86' pen.)
Sarr (43')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 2-0 (5.03%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Bayern Munich
40.84%	22.49%	36.68%

Both teams to score 67.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.71%

33.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.94%

55.06%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.93%

17.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.75%

47.25%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.13%

18.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.66%

50.34%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 40.84%

Bayern Munich 36.68%

Draw 22.49%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.39% 1-0 @ 5.7% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 4.95% 3-2 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.34% Total : 40.84%	1-1 @ 9.5% 2-2 @ 7% 0-0 @ 3.22% 3-3 @ 2.29% Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.49%	1-2 @ 7.92% 0-1 @ 5.37% 0-2 @ 4.48% 1-3 @ 4.4% 2-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.04% 3-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.68%