Atletico

3 - 2

Salzburg

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 15.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.37%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Red Bull Salzburg win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.